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Beane’s new crop: Young pitchers brighten A’s future

21-year old Brett Anderson is just one of many talented pitcher the Oakland Athletics possess. (AP Photo/Winslow Townson)

21-year old Brett Anderson is just one of many young, talented pitchers the Oakland Athletics possess. (AP Photo/Winslow Townson)

The Oakland Athletics current General Manager, the genius Billy Beane, was the team’s advanced scout from 1990-1993, then assumed the position of Assistant General Manager as of 1994. Under the tutelage of Sandy Alderson, with whom he shared the GM’s duties, Beane learned his philosophy–draft well and rely on undervalued players–and adopted it as his own once Alderson retired in 1998.

He was behind the drafting of righthander Tim Hudson in 1997, and wasted no time in his first year at the helm stocking the minor league system with more prime pitching talent, drafting lefthanded pitcher Mark Mulder out of Michigan State with the second overall selection. His pick was a wise one; starting his minor league career in Triple-A, Mulder became the Athletics top prospect and second-ranked in all of baseball and was in the majors to start the 2000 season.

On June 7th, 1999, the day before Tim Hudson struck out eleven San Diego Padres in his five inning debut, and while Mulder was in the midst of his fast track to the major leagues, Beane selected lefthander Barry Zito with the ninth overall pick. Zito, a UC-Santa Barbara product nearly beat him to the majors despite being drafted a year after Mulder, and like Mulder, as well as Hudson before him, he flourished immediately. So, watching his team from his suite, Beane saw his three-draftees, three immediate aces, take the mound every fifth day.

The year 2000 was a magical one. Hudson, after winning 11 games in his rookie season for an 85-win team, paired up with Mulder to form an incredible one-two punch atop the rotation: Hudson won 20 games, to just 6 losses, allowing only 169 hits in 202 innings, and Mulder won 21 games, to 8 losses, while pitching 229 innings. Zito came along midseason and made fourteen starts, winning seven thanks to his awesome repertoire headlined by an electric fastball and a devastating curveball with break never before seen. All in all, Hudson, Mulder, and Zito combined for 48 of the team’s 91 wins.

Hudson pitched four more years with the team, and averaged fifteen wins per season over that span, and managed a stellar 3.32 ERA during his six year tenure in Oakland.

Zito built upon his impressive rookie season, winning 17 games in 2001, then an unbelievable 23 the following year. In each of his final four seasons with the Athletics, he pitched over 200 innings, and, though his losses mounted, won 11 or more games.

Mulder followed up his 21-win season with 19 in 2001, then won 15 and 17 games, respectively in 2003 and 2004. Just like that, entering the 2005 season, Zito was the only one left.

Hudson, who moved on to the Atlanta Braves, hasn’t missed a beat since his departure from Oakland. Mulder left for the St. Louis Cardinals, and, after a 16-win first season, fell off the map. He suffered a variety of arm injuries, and has yet to become a glimmer of his former self; he won six games in 2006 and hasn’t recorded a victory since; the Cardinals released him last October, and he’s still on the free-agent market. Zito signed a seven-year deal worth $126 million with the San Francisco Giants, which has turned out to be a nightmare for the organization; after 13 losses in 2007 and 17 in 2008, he was labeled a bust; the Giants have tried to trade the 31-year old, but no one, rightfully so, wants to take on his contract.

Beane, with his money-poor A’s unable to retain their aces, began to rebuild. In 2004, with Hudson and Mulder in the final year of their contracts, he looked for pitchers to replace them. He found one, Dallas Braden, a left-hander chosen in the ninth round. Braden moved around frequently in the depths of Oakland’s farm system, making four different stops in Single-A. He was going nowhere fast, and wasn’t impressing anyone. Then, he caught his break, starting the 2007 season in Double-A. He made only two starts, pitching well in both before a quick promotion, to the brink of the major leagues. In Triple-A, he started eleven times, compiled a 2-3 record, a 2.95 ERA, and had two complete games and a shutout. This earned him a trip to the big club. It was a disappointing one.

Thrown into the rotation out of the gate, Braden was abysmal, winning once while losing eight to earn a demotion back down. Then, he bounced back, winning five times with the A’s during the last half of 2008. Now comfortable, he has transformed into their ace: he’s won seven games this season and has lost eight, but the loss total is solely because of poor run support, considering he has a 3.45 ERA. He’s 25 years old, and yet to reach his peak.

In 2005, Beane drafted Brett Anderson, then nineteen, and watched him grow. Anderson, a year removed from high-school, strutted his stuff, dominating two levels of Single-A, then Double-A. He made only six starts in Double-A. Beane, the ownership, and his scouts, had seen enough. Anderson didn’t need to take his game to Triple-A. He was ready for the majors.

In 2006, Beane drafted another extremely young pitcher with tremendous upside, Trevor Cahill, an eighteen-year old. Despite his youth, Cahill dominated from the start. With Kane County, their Single-A affiliate, he won 11 games and had a 2.73 ERA. He continued to post sub-3.00 ERA’s, doing so in his final two stops before making the jump from Double-A to the major leagues. He made his debut at 21 years of age, pitching five nerve-wracking innings against the Anaheim Angels in Oakland’s second game of the season. Since, he has made 18 starts, pitching poorly in only four; In thirteen of the fourteen other outings, he’s allowed three runs or less; in four, he’s allowed one run. Yet, despite his consistencies, he has only five wins to his name.

That’s because the offense is horrid. Matt Holiday, a one-year rental after Beane traded three players for him this past offseason, has played well of late, but overall has failed to live up to expectations. Jason Giambi, the once prolific slugger is out of gas at 38-years of age. Orlando Cabrera, like Holiday and Giambi, is in his first season with the team, and like Giambi, his performance is slipping. Nomar Garciaparra, trying to ressurect a once promising, now injury-riddled career, is also in his first season in Oakland, and like others, is only a shadow of his former self.

Still, the pitchers pitch, take the measly run support, and gain experience. Usually, even if teams are rebuilding, they will have a veteran anchoring the pitching staff, to tutor the young ones. This is not the case with Beane, who been anything but normal at the helm. His five-man rotation is made up of five men under 25 years of age; Josh Outman is 21 and has 4 wins and a 3.48 ERA, while Vin Mazzaro, rounding out the rotation, is 22 with unflattering statistics, but those which the A’s can build upon.

With a pitching foundation other teams would die for, Oakland has a bright future. So, even if the offense is only slightly improved (surely Beane can find some young offense to compliment his young pitchers, and I think he will), there is no stopping the Athletics from boasting more 20-game winners, and not only form a Big Three, like Hudson, Mulder, and Zito once were, but a Big Four or Five.

July 19, 2009 - Posted by swamigp | Baseball, Major League Baseball, Oakland Athletics, Sports | , , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

6 Comments »

  1. Baseballbriefs.com tracking back Beane’s new crop: Young pitchers brighten A’s future…

    Baseballbriefs.com tracking back Beane’s new crop: Young pitchers brighten A’s future…

    Trackback by Baseballbriefs.com | July 20, 2009 | Reply

  2. I think that Billy Beane is grossly overrated.

    In the end what have his teams ever won?

    Nothing.

    The strategy of constantly churning out players that you develop in return for draft picks has been a losing one.

    Also, as we have discussed earlier, what Beane is doing, by getting all these old guys on 1 year deals and specifically by getting Holliday just for the draft picks, is prepping the team for its eventual move.

    The bay area is a 1 team town, Oakland just doesn’t have to resources to support a team, they can never generate enough revenue there to be competitive, certainly not in that stadium, and with the collapse of the Freemont deal, the moves made by Selig and MLB are all designed so after the fact MLB can say they did everything to keep the team in town.

    Now it may take some time, and who knows where they will go, while it isn’t on anybody else’s published list, I say Mexico, not because I think that is who most deserves a team, but because I think that is how Bud thinks, marketing, but whatever the case, they are not in Oakland in the long run.

    Also I think sabermetrics are a load of crap.

    Billy Beane made his bones because he drafted the big 3 and I think he gets too much credit and his scouts don’t get nearly enough. His results since the big three have been spotty. He has had hits but he has also had misses.

    IF you look at the whole new breed of young GMs who believe in sabermetrics, while they all have been very good at self promotion, what have they really accomplished?

    Theo Epstien is not a great GM. He has had a lot of money to spend and he has great organizational support from many veteran baseball people. He is a beancounter, who really doesn’t understand baseball, he has made bad moves as well as good moves, and it is easy to bury your mistakes when you have the money to do it.

    Remember, Theo Epstien was the genius who publicly said he was going to revolutionize baseball by going to a closer by committee approach, he openly laughed at the criticism of the approach and claimed that statistical analysis proved that his approach would be successful, and that soon all of baseball would copy his model.

    All Theo Epstein is good at is leaking stories to ESPN and a long list of other media sources, and in return for his continued patronage, they praise him as some kind of genius and give him credit that rightfully belongs to others within the organization.

    Remember, Theo tried to execute a coup within the front office and consolidate power and authority, and the Red Sox told him to go pound sand, so he stormed off on Halloween in a gorilla suit so to dodge the media, because he didn’t want to explain why he quit. Well it turned out that nobody else in baseball thought he was qualified to have the kind of total control and authority that he wanted, and the Red Sox didn’t cave in to him either, and he had to come groveling back, begging for his old job on the same terms that he left it.

    Paul DePodesta was a washout in LA, and Jon Daniels was basically demoted and put under Nolan Ryan who has the final say on all personnel issues while Daniels negotiates contracts and works the phones.

    A few years ago the media presented it as the future of baseball was going to be that every team was going to hire their GM out of the Ivy League who would then sit at their computer and crunch numbers, because sabermetrics made fat old men who spend 50 years watching players obsolete.

    Well it didn’t work out that way did it.

    Scouting and player evaluation will always be a time intensive process which is necessary, and can never be replaced by a software program and and a degree from Columbia.

    Statistical analysis is a useful tool, but it is only one tool of many than can be and should be used by Managers and General Managers, and baseball has already for a long time witnessed the continued decline in influence and importance of sabermetrics, and 20 years from now, people will laugh at the notion of the importance that was once placed upon it.

    By the way, Moneyball, the book by Billy Beane, was slated to be made into a movie starring Brad Pitt. Two weeks before they were to start shooting, the funding was pulled. They have now brought in Allan Sorkin, the guy who wrote the West Wing to rewrite the script, which should be interesting to read, because everything he writes, not just the West Wing, has a left wing political theme, so given the subject, and who is now writing the script, I don’t see how it is going to ever work, and I doubt it will ever be a movie.

    Comment by Eric Gallagher | July 20, 2009 | Reply

    • Yes, his philosophy hasn’t amounted to much, but whether you agree with it or not, it’s very intriguing. Many teams fail to produce young talent from their farm system. Oakland, at least since 1998, has done a consistent job of finding and drafting talented pitchers, funneling them threw the minors, and bringing them up to the majors, where they live up to their potential.

      Succeeding in the draft, as my father told me, is luck. Every player drafted in every round has potential; that is why they are drafted. Yet, of the hundreds of players selected, very few make it to the major leagues and excel. Nearly every pitcher Beane has helped draft has panned out; and if some don’t, he pulls of trades for a young pitcher or two.

      Beane has no choice but to instill such a philosophy. He had all of these prime talents winning 20 games a year (the Mulder, Zito, and Hudson years), but the small-market A’s couldn’t afford them. Beane would have loved to retain them, but didn’t have the money to. So, he’s forced to rebuild, and did that by drafting the pitchers I documented, and getting hauls for Dan Haren and Rich Harden.

      Beane will most likely trade away Holliday and Cabrera, which, as you say, will be a precursor to a change in scenery.

      Yes, his scouts deserve a majority of the credit, but Beane, a former scout himself, has the final say, and is a tremendous evaluator of talent (only on one side of the ball, however).

      If his scouts could have as much luck finding hitting as they do pitching, Beane’s philosophy could pay dividends.

      Beane, because his team is poor financially, knows, even with the likes of Brett Anderson, Dallas Braden, and Trevor Cahill, he has a three to four year window to win. This is how it has been for them, because once their contracts are up, he has to let them be. He hasn’t won, and has been labeled overrated by you, because he hasn’t built a team, just part of one, which is the reason why, even if the A’s make the playoffs, they fail.

      How can you say that he’s overrated? Sure other teams have been better, especially offensively through the years, but to pull a rabbit out of the hat multiple times as he has rightfully makes him a magician.

      Comment by swamigp | July 20, 2009 | Reply

  3. Join the Moneyball Movie fan page on Facebook at http://facebook.com/moneyballmovie and the Twitter page at http://twitter.com/moneyballmovie for the latest movie updates.

    Comment by Moneyball Movie | July 20, 2009 | Reply

  4. I’m not sure who wrote that first comment, but Beane has done a lot with the limited resources he has. No free agent players want to go there, since nobody really wants to play in front of 10K every night when they could play in front of 40K a night in most large markets. If they don’t get a new stadium deal, then this will continue to happen! I wrote a little ode to Beane yesterday… You should check it out http://doin-work.com/2009/07/24/renewed-faith-in-beane-we-trust/

    Comment by chappy81 | July 25, 2009 | Reply

    • Yeah, Chappy, he deserves a lot of the credit. He’s done so much with so little. But it’s not an appetizing place to play. They need to do something about that if they want to succeed consistently.

      Thanks for the link, I’ll check it out.

      Comment by swamigp | July 25, 2009 | Reply


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